Belgrano vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
23.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
QUI
2 - 1
BEL
47%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
BEL
0 - 2
BHU
71%
21%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
IRV
7 - 0
BEL
28%
29%
43%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BEL
0 - 1
TAL
67%
22%
11%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
ALD
2 - 0
BEL
28%
29%
43%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
SMA
1 - 1
CHA
50%
28%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 0
SMA
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
SMA
1 - 0
DYJ
53%
27%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 0
SMA
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
SMA
2 - 0
INS
61%
24%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |