Belgrano vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 0
BEL
54%
24%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
BEL
3 - 1
CHI
59%
25%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BEL
4 - 0
IND
38%
29%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 2
BEL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 2
TIG
40%
29%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
QUI
67%
21%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
RIV
41%
26%
34%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 4
RIV
24%
28%
48%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SLO
0 - 1
RIV
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
SLO
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |