Belgrano vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 1
BEL
22%
29%
49%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 0
EST
60%
25%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 1
BEL
25%
29%
46%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
MOR
63%
24%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
TEM
1 - 1
BEL
23%
30%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 1
RIE
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
CAG
1 - 2
ALM
37%
30%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 0
ALB
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
GIM
1 - 0
ALM
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 1
STM
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |