Belgrano Paraná vs Urquiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
BEL
80%
15%
5%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UQZ
2 - 1
BEL
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 2
PAR
13%
21%
66%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 3
BEL
51%
23%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 1
ATL
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
UQZ
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UQZ
2 - 1
BEL
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |