Belgrano Esquel vs Germinal de Rawson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
69.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
+223%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano Esquel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
DDR
3 - 0
BEL
86%
10%
5%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
BEL
3 - 5
CAI
8%
14%
78%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GER
1 - 1
BEL
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
25D
0 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
12%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 3
SDM
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GER
2 - 0
CAI
20%
20%
61%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
DDR
3 - 2
GER
56%
21%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GER
1 - 1
BEL
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
GER
2 - 0
LAA
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CDS
3 - 0
GER
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |