Belgrano Esquel vs Germinal de Rawson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
57.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
+185%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano Esquel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BXC
2 - 0
BEL
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 2
BXC
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GER
4 - 1
BEL
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 3
CDS
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
INN
1 - 2
BEL
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CDS
3 - 2
GER
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GER
2 - 0
CDS
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GER
4 - 1
BEL
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BXC
0 - 3
GER
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
HUR
1 - 0
GER
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -2 |