Belgium U19s vs Spain U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BEL
5 - 1
LUX
85%
11%
3%
|
59 | 25 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
AZE
1 - 5
BEL
12%
19%
70%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 0
GRC
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
BEL
2 - 1
ALB
78%
14%
8%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
ISL
0 - 3
BEL
11%
15%
74%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Spain U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ESP
6 - 0
AZE
86%
11%
3%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 1
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
77 | 25 | 52 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
SRB
0 - 4
ESP
18%
22%
60%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 0
ROU
87%
10%
4%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 0
LTU
90%
8%
2%
|
77 | 31 | 46 | 0 |