Belfort vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
14º
14º
31
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
REI
2 - 2
BEL
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCS
40%
25%
34%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
USB
1 - 0
BEL
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
OLY
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 0
LUS
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FLE
3 - 0
MET
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
REI
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ESW
3 - 2
MET
43%
26%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MET
2 - 3
USB
30%
26%
45%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |