Belford Roxo vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+443%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belford Roxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
GON
5 - 1
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 6
SAM
17%
21%
63%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
BEL
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 3
NOV
14%
21%
66%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
DUQ
2 - 1
BEL
75%
15%
11%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
OLA
1 - 0
BAR
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 3
OLA
58%
24%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
OLA
1 - 1
DUQ
50%
28%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 0
OLA
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
OLA
0 - 0
CAM
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |