Os Belenenses vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
FCP
3 - 0
BEL
75%
17%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
SPB
7 - 1
BEL
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 0
ACA
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 0
BEL
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 0
BEL
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 0
VST
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
VST
2 - 1
MOR
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
FCP
4 - 0
VST
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
VST
0 - 1
BOA
76%
17%
7%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
VST
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |