Os Belenenses vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2002 |
GFC
3 - 1
BEL
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 0
BOA
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
BEL
1 - 0
MOR
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
SCP
2 - 0
BEL
69%
20%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
BEL
3 - 2
SPB
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 3
SCP
22%
23%
55%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
SPB
2 - 4
VIT
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 3
VAR
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2002 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
VIT
5 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |