Os Belenenses vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
6º
4º
34
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 2
BEL
14%
22%
64%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 4
BEL
27%
28%
45%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 1
TOR
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 3
AMO
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
BEL
16%
27%
57%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 0
REA
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 2
SCP
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +3 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 0
ALV
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VST
3 - 2
SCP
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 3
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |