Os Belenenses vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
SPB
2 - 1
BEL
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 3
RIO
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 0
BEL
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
REC
54%
24%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
REA
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
VIT
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
EST
3 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
ACA
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SPB
1 - 3
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 3
FCP
23%
24%
54%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |