Os Belenenses vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
TIR
2 - 1
BEL
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
BEL
2 - 1
LEX
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
SPB
1 - 0
BEL
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
VST
1 - 1
BEL
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
BEL
0 - 0
SLB
20%
24%
57%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
FAB
1 - 1
VST
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1967 |
SLB
3 - 1
FAB
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
FAB
1 - 0
FCB
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
VIT
2 - 3
FAB
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
FAB
1 - 2
VAR
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |