Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
6º
4º
25
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 0
CDB
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 1
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
PER
0 - 3
BEL
13%
25%
62%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 3
SER
75%
18%
7%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GDF
2 - 1
BEL
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
ACA
17%
23%
61%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ACA
3 - 1
PAR
65%
22%
14%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 2
ACA
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 0
CAN
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 2
VAR
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |