Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
BEL
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
BEL
3 - 1
VST
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
4 - 0
BEL
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
BEL
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 3
SPB
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 4
ACA
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ACA
2 - 2
NAV
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
EST
3 - 2
ACA
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 1
FCP
18%
26%
56%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |