Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
FAB
1 - 1
BEL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
BEL
1 - 0
VIT
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
SCP
3 - 2
BEL
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
BEL
2 - 1
ATL
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
FCP
0 - 1
ACA
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
ACA
4 - 0
UFT
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 1
FAB
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |