Belenenses Sub 23 vs Vitória Guimarães Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belenenses Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ACA
2 - 3
BEL
42%
21%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
BEL
0 - 1
BES
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 1
BEL
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
BEL
2 - 3
SET
47%
24%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 2
BEL
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 3
EST
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 0
GUI
66%
19%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
GUI
3 - 0
POR
82%
11%
7%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
CDP
0 - 2
GUI
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
FEI
0 - 1
GUI
17%
19%
65%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |