Belconnen United vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belconnen United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CUA
4 - 6
BEL
5%
10%
84%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
COE
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
COO
2 - 2
BEL
60%
20%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BEL
4 - 0
GUN
79%
12%
8%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
WOD
0 - 5
BEL
12%
17%
72%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
CAN
4 - 0
CUA
92%
6%
2%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
COE
2 - 7
CAN
22%
19%
60%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 3
COO
39%
23%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GUN
0 - 1
CAN
18%
18%
64%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 0
WOD
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |