Belœil vs Montignies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
2º
1º
24
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 53 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belœil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 3
BEL
46%
21%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 2
SOL
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SOI
2 - 2
BEL
18%
20%
62%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 2
RMO
80%
14%
7%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PER
2 - 2
BEL
26%
22%
53%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Montignies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
LUI
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RAN
3 - 1
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
9 - 1
MON
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
SOL
48%
23%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SOI
2 - 1
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |