Campeonato de Portugal Grupo D. Jor. 20

Beira Mar SC vs Lusitano FCV analysis

Beira Mar SC Lusitano FCV
39 ELO 26
-6.3% Tilt -3.1%
5427º General ELO ranking 22387º
91º Country ELO ranking 408º
ELO win probability
78.4%
Beira Mar SC
14.3%
Draw
7.4%
Lusitano FCV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
Beira Mar SC
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.4%
Win probability
Lusitano FCV
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Beira Mar SC
-47%
-9%
Lusitano FCV

ELO progression

Beira Mar SC
Lusitano FCV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Beira Mar SC
Beira Mar SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2021
LUS
Lusitania FC
2 - 1
Beira Mar SC
BMA
51%
24%
25%
39 42 3 0
28 Feb. 2021
BMA
Beira Mar SC
1 - 1
Espinho
ESP
57%
24%
20%
39 38 1 0
24 Feb. 2021
BMA
Beira Mar SC
1 - 1
RD Agueda
RDA
75%
16%
9%
40 31 9 -1
21 Feb. 2021
CAS
Castro Daire
2 - 1
Beira Mar SC
BMA
20%
21%
60%
41 30 11 -1
17 Feb. 2021
VAL
Valadares Gaia
2 - 1
Beira Mar SC
BMA
13%
18%
69%
43 26 17 -2

Matches

Lusitano FCV
Lusitano FCV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2021
LUS
Lusitano FCV
4 - 2
Vila Cortez
VCO
86%
10%
4%
26 9 17 0
28 Feb. 2021
SAN
AD Sanjoanense
3 - 0
Lusitano FCV
LUS
70%
19%
12%
27 38 11 -1
24 Feb. 2021
LUS
Lusitano FCV
0 - 0
Lusitania FC
LUS
20%
24%
57%
26 42 16 +1
20 Feb. 2021
LUS
Lusitano FCV
2 - 1
RD Agueda
RDA
35%
26%
40%
25 32 7 +1
14 Feb. 2021
CAN
Canelas 2010
1 - 0
Lusitano FCV
LUS
74%
17%
10%
25 40 15 0
X