Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
DAL
0 - 1
BEI
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
BEI
1 - 1
SHA
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 0
BEI
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
BEI
0 - 0
TIT
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
BEI
2 - 1
HEB
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wuhan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
WUZ
2 - 2
CHA
33%
26%
42%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
SHA
0 - 0
WUZ
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 1
WUZ
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
WUZ
0 - 0
SHA
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
TIT
2 - 1
WUZ
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |