Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Peng City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
BEI
4 - 2
SHA
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
BEI
2 - 1
CHA
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
TIT
3 - 1
BEI
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
HEB
0 - 0
BEI
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
BEI
2 - 1
WUZ
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shenzhen Peng City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
KUN
1 - 1
SJF
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
SJF
1 - 0
BIT
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CBC
2 - 1
SJF
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SJF
1 - 0
ANH
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SJF
1 - 1
KUN
31%
30%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |