Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
BEI
1 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
WUZ
1 - 4
BEI
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
WFC
5 - 1
BEI
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
HEN
3 - 0
BEI
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
SHE
2 - 1
BEI
31%
27%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 1
TIT
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 2
CBC
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 0
CHA
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
WUZ
2 - 2
SHA
23%
27%
50%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 0
HEB
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |