Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Whowin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
DAL
0 - 1
BEI
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
BEI
0 - 1
SIC
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
CHO
2 - 0
BEI
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1999 |
SHA
2 - 0
BEI
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
BEI
3 - 0
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Liaoning Whowin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
SIC
1 - 1
LIA
51%
23%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
LIA
0 - 0
CHO
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
LIA
0 - 0
SHA
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1999 |
CHA
2 - 1
LIA
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
TIT
0 - 1
LIA
40%
25%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |