Beijing Guoan vs Guizhou Zhicheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
BEI
2 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
BEI
29%
29%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
BEI
0 - 0
JIA
49%
25%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
SHA
1 - 0
BEI
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
BEI
2 - 0
TIT
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guizhou Zhicheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
LIA
0 - 1
GUI
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 2
YAN
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
SHA
2 - 2
GUI
72%
17%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
GUI
0 - 2
GUA
9%
19%
72%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUI
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |