Beijing Guoan vs Beijing Renhe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
SHA
2 - 1
BEI
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
LIA
3 - 2
BEI
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2005 |
BEI
3 - 1
SIC
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
BEI
1 - 1
SHE
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
QIN
1 - 0
BEI
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Renhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
GUI
0 - 2
QIN
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2005 |
GUI
0 - 0
WUH
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
GUI
1 - 2
SHA
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUI
25%
27%
48%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
GUI
1 - 2
DAL
37%
25%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |