Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Liangjiang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
SHI
2 - 2
BEI
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
BEI
1 - 2
SHA
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
QIN
3 - 3
BEI
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
BEI
3 - 1
HEB
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
TIT
1 - 3
BEI
30%
26%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Chongqing Liangjiang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
SHA
3 - 0
CHO
76%
16%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 0
SHI
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
WUZ
2 - 0
CHO
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
CHO
0 - 0
QIN
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2020 |
HEB
2 - 2
CHO
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |