Beijing Guoan vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 2
BEI
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 2
BEI
29%
29%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
BEI
1 - 1
LIA
54%
24%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SHA
4 - 0
BEI
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BEI
1 - 0
DAL
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
JIA
40%
29%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SHA
2 - 2
CHA
33%
27%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
DAL
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
GUA
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 0
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |