Bedford Town vs Welwyn Garden City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bedford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BED
3 - 1
RFC
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
COL
0 - 3
BED
9%
14%
77%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BED
3 - 0
KID
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BED
3 - 0
THA
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BED
5 - 0
CAM
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Welwyn Garden City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
WEL
1 - 0
WAR
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MER
1 - 3
WEL
60%
22%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
FCR
2 - 3
WEL
26%
24%
51%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BFC
2 - 1
WEL
28%
23%
50%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
3 - 2
WEL
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |