Non League Div One Isthmian South Central. Jor. 21

Bedfont Sports vs Basingstoke Town analysis

Bedfont Sports Basingstoke Town
23 ELO 26
0.6% Tilt -1.5%
9410º General ELO ranking 6646º
551º Country ELO ranking 319º
ELO win probability
32.6%
Bedfont Sports
22.4%
Draw
45%
Basingstoke Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
Bedfont Sports
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
45%
Win probability
Basingstoke Town
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bedfont Sports
+18%
-1%
Basingstoke Town

Points and table prediction

Bedfont Sports
Their league position
Basingstoke Town
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
13º
19º
19º
89
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Basingstoke Town
89
89
100%
Walton & Hersham
87
87
100%
Marlow FC
67
67
100%
Hanworth Villa FC
66
66
100%
Northwood
63
63
100%
Binfield
57
57
0%
Leatherhead
57
57
0%
Chertsey Town
56
56
100%
South Park FC
55
55
100%
Southall
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Chipstead
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Westfield (Surrey)
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Thatcham Town
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Uxbridge
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Guernsey
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Ashford Town
16º
38
38
16º
100%
Sutton Common Rovers
17º
37
37
17º
100%
Merstham
18º
36
36
18º
100%
Bedfont Sports
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Tooting and Mitcham
20º
24
24
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bedfont Sports
Basingstoke Town
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Bedfont Sports
Basingstoke Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bedfont Sports
Bedfont Sports
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2023
UXB
Uxbridge
2 - 3
Bedfont Sports
BED
57%
22%
22%
22 26 4 0
26 Dec. 2022
BED
Bedfont Sports
2 - 2
Ashford Town
ASH
65%
19%
17%
22 17 5 0
10 Dec. 2022
BED
Bedfont Sports
4 - 2
Merstham
MER
67%
19%
15%
21 17 4 +1
03 Dec. 2022
BED
Bedfont Sports
0 - 0
Hanworth Villa FC
HAN
47%
22%
31%
21 22 1 0
26 Nov. 2022
GUE
Guernsey
1 - 1
Bedfont Sports
BED
26%
22%
52%
22 16 6 -1

Matches

Basingstoke Town
Basingstoke Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2023
BAS
Basingstoke Town
2 - 0
Thatcham Town
THA
64%
18%
18%
26 22 4 0
17 Dec. 2022
BAS
Basingstoke Town
0 - 1
Walton & Hersham
WAL
55%
20%
25%
26 26 0 0
03 Dec. 2022
BAS
Basingstoke Town
8 - 0
Guernsey
GUE
83%
11%
6%
27 16 11 -1
26 Nov. 2022
SOU
South Park FC
0 - 1
Basingstoke Town
BAS
43%
22%
35%
26 25 1 +1
19 Nov. 2022
BAS
Basingstoke Town
4 - 2
Tooting and Mitcham
TOO
83%
11%
6%
26 16 10 0
X