Beaconsfield vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
55.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 2
WHI
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
MET
4 - 1
BEA
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BEA
3 - 4
MER
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BEA
3 - 5
TIV
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
HEN
2 - 0
BEA
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DOR
5 - 2
FAR
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
BAD
0 - 7
FAR
12%
15%
73%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
HAY
1 - 2
FAR
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 1
MET
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
TAU
2 - 1
FAR
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |