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UCL. Group C, Matchday 1

Beşiktaş vs B. Dortmund analysis

Beşiktaş B. Dortmund
79 ELO 90
14% Tilt 47%
104º General ELO ranking 27º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.3%
Beşiktaş
22.4%
Draw
49.3%
B. Dortmund

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
Beşiktaş
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
49.3%
Win probability
B. Dortmund
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

Basic stats

55
45
POS
13
14
SOT
4
5
COR
1
2
GF
2
1
GC
14
11
FRK
79
90
ELO
1.4
1.9
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Beşiktaş
Their league position
B. Dortmund
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
3
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ajax
3
8
32%
B. Dortmund
3
8
32%
Beşiktaş
0
5
32%
Sporting CP
0
5
32%
Expected probabilities
Beşiktaş
B. Dortmund
Next phase
36% 64%
elimuefa
32% 18%
Mid-table
32% 18%

ELO progression

B. Dortmund
BVB
Beşiktaş
BJK
Antalyaspor
ANT
Union Berlin
FCU
Slavia Praha
SLP
Fatih Karagümrük
FAT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
1%
X%
2%
ELO BJK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2021
BJK
Beşiktaş
3 - 0
Yeni Malatyaspor
YEN
79%
14%
7%
2465 1354 1111 +4
02 Sep. 2021
BJK
Beşiktaş
4 - 0
Umraniyespor
UMR
82%
12%
6%
2458 1059 1399 +9
28 Aug. 2021
BJK
Beşiktaş
1 - 0
Fatih Karagümrük
FAT
82%
12%
6%
2456 1064 1392 +2
21 Aug. 2021
GFK
Gaziantep BB
0 - 0
Beşiktaş
BJK
27%
26%
47%
2384 1429 -955 -5
13 Aug. 2021
BJK
Beşiktaş
3 - 0
Rizespor
RIZ
66%
20%
15%
2378 1581 797 +6

Matches

B. Dortmund
B. Dortmund
1%
X%
2%
ELO BVB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2021
LEV
B. Leverkusen
3 - 4
B. Dortmund
BVB
39%
27%
34%
3001 2554 -447 +10
27 Aug. 2021
BVB
B. Dortmund
3 - 2
Hoffenheim
HOF
71%
17%
11%
3153 2395 758 +5
21 Aug. 2021
SCF
SC Freiburg
2 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
25%
25%
51%
3172 2014 -1158 -19
17 Aug. 2021
BVB
B. Dortmund
1 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
44%
27%
29%
3188 3523 -335 -13
14 Aug. 2021
BVB
B. Dortmund
5 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
64%
20%
16%
3175 2501 674 +9