Bdin vs Partizan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
4º
1º
33
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
93.5% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
93.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
69% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
46.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
87% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIH
2 - 0
BDI
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BDI
3 - 2
SEV
45%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BDI
2 - 1
LOK
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ETR
1 - 4
BDI
9%
13%
78%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BDI
3 - 0
LOK
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Partizan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
ETR
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
4 - 0
PAR
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
LOD
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 1
PAR
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 3
FLK
10%
14%
76%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |