BCH Lions vs FC Deren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
64.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BCH Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
ATF
0 - 1
BCH
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
BCH
2 - 2
KHC
31%
21%
48%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
BCH
1 - 9
TBF
12%
17%
71%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
KHA
1 - 0
BCH
71%
15%
14%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
BCH
2 - 8
ULC
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
DER
4 - 0
KHA
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ULC
3 - 0
DER
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
DER
1 - 4
ERC
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
ULA
2 - 3
DER
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
DER
3 - 0
SPF
45%
22%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |