Baztan vs CD San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baztan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ERR
2 - 1
CDB
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CDB
1 - 0
BID
29%
24%
47%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CDB
1 - 0
PEN
39%
24%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AOI
2 - 1
CDB
41%
24%
35%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CDL
2 - 0
CDB
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CDS
1 - 1
AOI
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 0
CDS
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CDC
3 - 1
CDS
57%
21%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
INJ
3 - 0
CDS
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 2
CDS
22%
21%
57%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |