Baza vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
68.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
ECI
4 - 0
BAZ
45%
28%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
BAZ
0 - 0
ALM
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
AGU
3 - 0
BAZ
46%
25%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
BAZ
1 - 1
MAL
14%
24%
63%
|
47 | 86 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
BAZ
3 - 2
EXT
35%
28%
37%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
CEL
2 - 1
ALA
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
ATH
1 - 1
CEL
53%
23%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
MLL
1 - 0
CEL
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
CEL
1 - 0
ESP
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
SDT
1 - 3
CEL
12%
20%
69%
|
85 | 30 | 55 | 0 |