Baza vs CD Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ECI
1 - 2
BAZ
45%
28%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
BAZ
2 - 0
MAL
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 1
BAZ
40%
27%
34%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
BAZ
1 - 0
CER
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
AGD
1 - 0
BAZ
37%
29%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
VVA
1 - 0
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
RJA
0 - 0
VVA
58%
25%
18%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
VVA
1 - 1
POR
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
VVA
1 - 0
ECI
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
MAL
1 - 3
VVA
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |