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Australia Second Division. Australia Occidental, Matchday 11

Bayswater City vs Floreat Athena analysis

Bayswater City Floreat Athena
24 ELO 23
-9% Tilt 42%
5229º General ELO ranking 6278º
21º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
32%
Bayswater City
25.5%
Draw
42.6%
Floreat Athena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
Bayswater City
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
42.6%
Win probability
Floreat Athena
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayswater City
+33%
+77%
Floreat Athena

Basic stats

4
2
GF
2
4
GC
24
23
ELO
1.3
1.5
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Bayswater City
Their league position
Floreat Athena
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
11º
25
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Floreat Athena
25
25
100%
Gwelup Croatia
23
23
100%
Cockburn City
20
20
100%
ECU Joondalup
19
19
100%
Sorrento FC
18
18
100%
Armadale
15
15
50%
Bayswater City
15
15
50%
Inglewood United
14
14
100%
Perth Glory Sub 21
13
13
100%
Perth SC
10º
12
12
10º
100%
Balcatta
11º
8
8
11º
100%
Rockingham City
12º
4
4
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bayswater City
Floreat Athena
Champion
0% 100%
Final season
50% 0%
Relegation playoffs
50% 0%

ELO progression

Floreat Athena
FLO
Bayswater City
BAY
Sorrento FC
SOR
Rockingham City
ROC
Balcatta
BAL
ECU Joondalup
ECU
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayswater City
Bayswater City
1%
X%
2%
ELO BAY ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2020
GWE
Gwelup Croatia
3 - 1
Bayswater City
BAY
44%
27%
29%
300 306 6 -2
22 Aug. 2020
BAY
Bayswater City
1 - 3
Rockingham City
ROC
48%
27%
26%
303 212 91 -2
15 Aug. 2020
BAL
Balcatta
2 - 2
Bayswater City
BAY
41%
28%
31%
303 225 -78 0
12 Aug. 2020
BAY
Bayswater City
1 - 1
ECU Joondalup
ECU
49%
26%
25%
302 172 130 0
08 Aug. 2020
ARM
Armadale
1 - 2
Bayswater City
BAY
39%
28%
33%
301 133 -168 +1

Matches

Floreat Athena
Floreat Athena
1%
X%
2%
ELO FLO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2020
FLO
Floreat Athena
3 - 1
Sorrento FC
SOR
47%
27%
26%
302 257 45 +2
22 Aug. 2020
ING
Inglewood United
0 - 2
Floreat Athena
FLO
41%
28%
31%
301 237 -64 +2
15 Aug. 2020
FLO
Floreat Athena
1 - 0
Cockburn City
COC
49%
26%
25%
300 188 112 +1
12 Aug. 2020
FLO
Floreat Athena
2 - 0
Perth Glory Sub 21
PEG
49%
26%
25%
297 183 114 +2
08 Aug. 2020
FLO
Floreat Athena
2 - 1
ECU Joondalup
ECU
49%
26%
25%
296 173 123 +1