Bayside United vs St George Willawong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayside United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
BAY
1 - 0
BRK
82%
11%
6%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
TLA
1 - 3
BAY
62%
19%
20%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GEO
0 - 3
BAY
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
BAY
0 - 1
MGH
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
BAY
5 - 1
STO
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ACA
3 - 2
GEO
7%
12%
81%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
GEO
3 - 2
TLA
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MGH
2 - 1
GEO
9%
14%
77%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GEO
0 - 3
BAY
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
STO
3 - 3
GEO
7%
12%
81%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |