Bayreuth SpVgg vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 0
NUR
14%
20%
66%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 1
BAY
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
BAY
2 - 1
BAY
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 1
ILL
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 2
BAY
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
VRG
2 - 2
SCH
43%
24%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ILL
4 - 2
VRG
37%
24%
40%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VRG
2 - 0
FCP
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ING
3 - 0
VRG
30%
23%
47%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VRG
1 - 3
BAY
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |