Bayreuth SpVgg vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BAY
3 - 1
VIK
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
NUR
4 - 2
BAY
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BAY
0 - 1
BAY
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MEM
3 - 1
BAY
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SCH
2 - 2
BAY
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BUC
1 - 1
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 0
186
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
AMB
1 - 3
GRE
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
GRE
4 - 0
AUG
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
SCH
41%
24%
36%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |