Aviron Bayonnais vs Chatellerault analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
13%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
12º
10º
37
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aviron Bayonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAY
2 - 1
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CNF
2 - 1
BAY
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BAY
3 - 0
GUE
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
POI
2 - 0
BAY
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
LEG
2 - 2
BAY
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chatellerault
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
CHA
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
PED
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LEG
1 - 0
CHA
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
FCL
42%
24%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 3
GDB
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |