Bayern München Sub 17 vs Mainz 05 Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
3º
3º
26
5º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 5 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HOF
3 - 1
BMC
49%
21%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BMC
6 - 1
SVU
82%
11%
6%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 2
BMC
18%
19%
63%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BMC
3 - 0
STK
90%
7%
3%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
0 - 1
BMC
8%
15%
77%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
M05
0 - 3
MUN
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
STT
1 - 1
M05
82%
11%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
M05
0 - 1
DAR
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GRF
1 - 2
M05
11%
17%
72%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
M05
0 - 2
SJR
74%
15%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |