Bayern München vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
BVB
5 - 2
BYM
32%
25%
43%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
KOL
1 - 4
BYM
9%
18%
73%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BYM
2 - 0
STU
70%
17%
13%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
RMA
2 - 1
BYM
81%
11%
7%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 2
BYM
18%
22%
60%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
CHL
2 - 1
BBU
79%
14%
7%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
LIV
4 - 1
CHL
35%
26%
39%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CHL
2 - 1
LIV
65%
20%
16%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
CHL
0 - 2
NEW
76%
15%
9%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CHL
6 - 1
QPR
85%
11%
4%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |