Bayern München vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
EIN
2 - 1
BYM
63%
20%
18%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1979 |
BYM
2 - 1
S04
59%
21%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
BYM
0 - 1
HSV
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
F95
7 - 1
BYM
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
BYM
4 - 0
FCN
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
BVB
2 - 2
RTV
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1978 |
ARB
4 - 3
BVB
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
BVB
3 - 1
EIN
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
BVB
6 - 1
OFC
56%
19%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
S04
5 - 1
BVB
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |