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Bundesliga. Matchday 30

Bayern München B. Leverkusen
96 ELO 82
30% Tilt 19%
General ELO ranking 45º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
85.5%
Bayern München
9.6%
Draw
4.8%
B. Leverkusen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
Bayern München
3.24
Expected goals
11-0
<0%
+11
<0%
10-0
0.1%
11-1
<0%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.8%
Win probability
B. Leverkusen
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayern München
+31%
+7%
B. Leverkusen

Basic stats

61
39
POS
16
6
SOT
7
3
COR
2
0
GF
0
2
GC
19
7
FRK
96
82
ELO
3.2
0.7
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Bayern München
Their league position
B. Leverkusen
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
10º
47
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
71
81
100%
RB Leipzig
61
67
45%
Wolfsburg
57
64
32%
Eintracht Frankfurt
56
64
28%
B. Dortmund
52
59
88%
B. Leverkusen
47
53
62%
B. Mönchengladbach
43
49
31%
Union Berlin
43
47
27%
SC Freiburg
40
45
10º
26%
Stuttgart
10º
39
45
22%
Hoffenheim
11º
35
42
11º
51%
FC Augsburg
12º
33
37
12º
36%
Mainz 05
13º
31
35
15º
11%
Werder Bremen
14º
30
35
14º
21%
Arminia Bielefeld
15º
30
32
16º
16%
Hertha BSC
16º
26
35
13º
15%
Köln
17º
26
31
17º
44%
Schalke 04
18º
13
16
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bayern München
B. Leverkusen
Champion
100% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 3%
Europa Conference League
0% 62%
Mid-table
0% 35%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bayern München
BYM
B. Leverkusen
LEV
Mainz 05
M05
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
Werder Bremen
BRE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO BYM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 0
B. Leverkusen
LEV
79%
14%
7%
3695 2626 1069 +4
17 Apr. 2021
WOL
Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
25%
25%
50%
3690 2559 -1131 +5
13 Apr. 2021
PSG
PSG
0 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
53%
26%
21%
3659 3711 52 +36
10 Apr. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
80%
13%
7%
3660 1771 1889 -11
07 Apr. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 3
PSG
PSG
50%
26%
24%
3691 3663 28 -25

Matches

B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen
1%
X%
2%
ELO LEV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 0
B. Leverkusen
LEV
79%
14%
7%
2626 3695 1069 -4
17 Apr. 2021
LEV
B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
Köln
KOL
64%
21%
16%
2616 1947 669 +9
12 Apr. 2021
HOF
Hoffenheim
0 - 0
B. Leverkusen
LEV
40%
28%
32%
2618 2247 -371 -2
03 Apr. 2021
LEV
B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Schalke 04
S04
63%
21%
16%
2612 2004 608 +6
21 Mar. 2021
HER
Hertha BSC
3 - 0
B. Leverkusen
LEV
33%
28%
39%
2640 1981 -659 -28