Bayern München vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
WOL
2 - 3
BYM
6%
12%
83%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
PSG
0 - 1
BYM
15%
18%
67%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BYM
1 - 1
FCU
88%
9%
3%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
BYM
2 - 3
PSG
73%
16%
12%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
RBL
0 - 1
BYM
10%
15%
75%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
LEV
3 - 0
KOL
65%
19%
16%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
HOF
0 - 0
LEV
33%
24%
43%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LEV
2 - 1
S04
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
LEV
17%
21%
62%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LEV
1 - 2
ARB
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |