Bayern München vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
2.6%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
BYM
1 - 0
TIG
87%
10%
3%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 2
BYM
3%
7%
90%
|
96 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
BYM
3%
8%
90%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BYM
4 - 1
HOF
81%
12%
7%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
S04
0 - 4
BYM
3%
8%
90%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
KOL
3 - 1
ARB
46%
25%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 5
EIN
17%
20%
63%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
ARB
3 - 0
STU
26%
24%
50%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
HOF
0 - 0
ARB
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 0
HER
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |