Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.93
Expected goals
12-0
<0%
+12
<0%
11-0
0.1%
12-1
<0%
+11
0.1%
10-0
0.2%
11-1
0.1%
12-2
<0%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
11-2
<0%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
11-3
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+43%
Basic stats
59
41
POS
11
6
SOT
8
1
COR
1
1
GF
1
1
GC
15
12
FRK
96
68
ELO
3.9
1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
10º
1º
43
5º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 68 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 64 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 64 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 59 |
5º
|
79% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 53 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 49 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 47 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 45 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 42 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 35 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 35 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 31 |
17º
|
44% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 16 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 100% | 0% |
| Champions League | 0% | 0% |
| Europa League | 0% | 0% |
| Europa Conference League | 0% | 14% |
| Mid-table | 0% | 86% |
| Relegation playoffs | 0% | 0% |
| Relegation | 0% | 0% |
ELO progression
FCU
BYM
PSG
STU
STR
BVB
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO BYM | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
BYM
2 - 3
PSG
50%
26%
24%
|
3691 | 3663 | 28 | -25 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
RBL
0 - 1
BYM
35%
27%
38%
|
3678 | 2877 | -801 | +7 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BYM
4 - 0
STU
86%
10%
4%
|
3676 | 1925 | 1751 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
BYM
2 - 1
LAZ
71%
18%
11%
|
3668 | 2814 | 854 | +12 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 3
BYM
13%
19%
68%
|
3660 | 2077 | -1583 | +4 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO FCU | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
FCU
1 - 1
HER
42%
28%
31%
|
1770 | 2009 | -239 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
FCU
1 - 2
EBT
64%
20%
16%
|
1810 | 1033 | 777 | -39 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
EIN
5 - 2
FCU
61%
21%
18%
|
1819 | 2486 | 667 | -9 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
FCU
2 - 1
KOL
45%
27%
28%
|
1807 | 1971 | -164 | +12 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ARB
0 - 0
FCU
39%
28%
33%
|
1809 | 1526 | -283 | -1 |