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Bundesliga. Matchday 28

Bayern München Union Berlin
96 ELO 68
35% Tilt 24%
General ELO ranking 281º
Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
87.1%
Bayern München
7.9%
Draw
5%
Union Berlin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
Bayern München
3.93
Expected goals
12-0
<0%
+12
<0%
11-0
0.1%
12-1
<0%
+11
0.1%
10-0
0.2%
11-1
0.1%
12-2
<0%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
11-2
<0%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
11-3
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
5%
Win probability
Union Berlin
1
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayern München
+34%
+43%
Union Berlin

Basic stats

59
41
POS
11
6
SOT
8
1
COR
1
1
GF
1
1
GC
15
12
FRK
96
68
ELO
3.9
1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Bayern München
Their league position
Union Berlin
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
10º
43
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
71
81
100%
RB Leipzig
61
68
53%
Wolfsburg
57
64
30%
Eintracht Frankfurt
56
64
27%
B. Dortmund
52
59
79%
B. Leverkusen
47
53
67%
B. Mönchengladbach
43
49
25%
Union Berlin
43
47
26%
SC Freiburg
40
45
10º
24%
Stuttgart
10º
39
45
20%
Hoffenheim
11º
35
42
11º
52%
FC Augsburg
12º
33
37
12º
39%
Mainz 05
13º
31
34
15º
11%
Werder Bremen
14º
30
35
14º
21%
Arminia Bielefeld
15º
30
32
16º
16%
Hertha BSC
16º
26
35
13º
15%
Köln
17º
26
31
17º
44%
Schalke 04
18º
13
16
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bayern München
Union Berlin
Champion
100% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 14%
Mid-table
0% 86%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Union Berlin
FCU
Bayern München
BYM
PSG
PSG
Stuttgart
STU
Strasbourg
STR
B. Dortmund
BVB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO BYM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 3
PSG
PSG
50%
26%
24%
3691 3663 28 -25
03 Apr. 2021
RBL
RB Leipzig
0 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
35%
27%
38%
3678 2877 -801 +7
20 Mar. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
4 - 0
Stuttgart
STU
86%
10%
4%
3676 1925 1751 +2
17 Mar. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
71%
18%
11%
3668 2814 854 +12
13 Mar. 2021
BRE
Werder Bremen
1 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
13%
19%
68%
3660 2077 -1583 +4

Matches

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1%
X%
2%
ELO FCU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2021
FCU
Union Berlin
1 - 1
Hertha BSC
HER
42%
28%
31%
1770 2009 -239 +1
25 Mar. 2021
FCU
Union Berlin
1 - 2
Braunschweig
EBT
64%
20%
16%
1810 1033 777 -39
20 Mar. 2021
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
5 - 2
Union Berlin
FCU
61%
21%
18%
1819 2486 667 -9
13 Mar. 2021
FCU
Union Berlin
2 - 1
Köln
KOL
45%
27%
28%
1807 1971 -164 +12
07 Mar. 2021
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
0 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
39%
28%
33%
1809 1526 -283 -1