Bayern Alzenau vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
5º
2º
53
2º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 70 |
1º
|
90% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 67 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 66 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 64 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 63 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 59 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
53 | 57 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 54 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 50 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 50 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 48 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 43 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 43 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 39 |
16º
|
69% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 34 |
17º
|
98% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
18 | 18 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
46% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern Alzenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HUN
0 - 5
BAY
27%
21%
52%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
4 - 0
MAR
75%
14%
11%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 4
FSV
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
4 - 1
SGW
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
3 - 2
FOR
24%
22%
54%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAU
0 - 0
DAR
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TUR
4 - 1
BAU
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HES
2 - 1
BAU
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BAU
3 - 0
HUN
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAU
18%
19%
63%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |